2 Days To Go....
-Franklin Roosevelt
Vote Kerry, to protect those civil rights.
Rants, raves, and random ruminations on anything that pops into my head. Pull up stool, grab a pint, and lets shoot the breeze...no opinion rejected here! Just be sure to wash your hands in the restroom.
IT WON'T BE CLOSE: Back in the early spring, I bet Michael Barone that Kerry
would win this election. I'll buy him a drink if I'm wrong. And to be honest, I
don't know who's more likely to win at this point. But here's a prediction I
don't mind making. This election won't be close. Presidents seeking re-election
very rarely win or lose a second time narrowly. Either they get trounced -
Carter, Bush 41 - or they get re-elected handily - Eisenhower, Nixon, Reagan,
Clinton. People make a simple decision whether the guy's worth re-electing. Of
course, the alternative makes a difference. My view is that most people don't
want to re-elect Bush but are still unconvinced by Kerry. But they'll figure it
out soon enough. Hence the big interest in the debates - and the huge swing
since the first one. Joel Rosenberg of National Review looks at the Zogby data
and worries:
There is some good news for the president. Zogby says "Kerry's
edge on the economy is gone. Among those who cite the economy as the top issue,
the candidates are in a dead heat — Bush holding a slight edge," (46 percent to
44 percent). And this: Bush "also leads among those who cite the War on Terror
as the top issue" (68 percent to 26 percent)." But by far the most interesting —
and disturbing — finding in his poll is that "among undecided voters, only 15%
feel the President deserves to be re-elected, while 39% say it is time for
someone new." What if the undecideds break 2-to-1 against the president less
than 30 days from now? We could be looking at a Kerry landslide. Yep. In fact,
I'd say a clear and decisive Kerry win is now the likeliest outcome of this
election. Bush's only hope is to tear Kerry apart. He can't defend his record.
Every day, the news undermines it. He is losing this campaign in the final
stretch. So he needs to attack. And when a Rove candidate needs to attack to
survive, it's going to get ugly. Real, real ugly. --Andrew Sullivan
It's the president desperately trying to tear down Kerry as the news tears down
the president.